Tropical Weather Outlook
NHC Atlantic Outlook :
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disturbed weather over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea is associated with the remnants of Harvey. Satellite images and
surface observations indicate that the system has not become
better organized and tropical cyclone development is not expected
before the system moves inland over the Yucatan peninsula this
morning. However, environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development when the system moves over the Bay of
Campeche tonight or early Wednesday, and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or
Thursday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and
gusty winds are expected to spread westward across Belize and the
Yucatan peninsula during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad trough of
low pressure near the northwestern Bahamas remains limited. Any
development of this system during the next few days should be slow
to occur while it moves west-northwestward, and then turns
northwestward or northward near Florida and the adjacent waters.
Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for
development by the weekend when the system begins to move
northeastward over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown



NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook :
Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kenneth, located nearly 1500 miles west of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN



LOCAL WEATHER
Milton, FL Weather :: 77F Fair : 77F Fair
Today : Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 7am. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight : Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday : A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday : A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.
Thursday Night : A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Friday : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.
Friday Night : A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73.
Sunday : A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night : A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Monday : A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 85.
LOCAL FORCAST
Milton, FL Weather :: 77F Fair : 77F Fair
Today : Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 7am. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight : Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday : A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday : A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.
Thursday Night : A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Friday : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.
Friday Night : A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night : A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73.
Sunday : A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night : A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Monday : A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 85.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NHC Atlantic Outlook :
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disturbed weather over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea is associated with the remnants of Harvey. Satellite images and
surface observations indicate that the system has not become
better organized and tropical cyclone development is not expected
before the system moves inland over the Yucatan peninsula this
morning. However, environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development when the system moves over the Bay of
Campeche tonight or early Wednesday, and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or
Thursday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and
gusty winds are expected to spread westward across Belize and the
Yucatan peninsula during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad trough of
low pressure near the northwestern Bahamas remains limited. Any
development of this system during the next few days should be slow
to occur while it moves west-northwestward, and then turns
northwestward or northward near Florida and the adjacent waters.
Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for
development by the weekend when the system begins to move
northeastward over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown



NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook :
Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kenneth, located nearly 1500 miles west of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN




FEMA: THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS
SPC - No watches are valid as of Tue Aug 22 00:02:01 UTC 2017 : No watches are valid as of Tue Aug 22 00:02:01 UTC 2017.

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